February 27, 2018


"Punctuated Equilibria Paradigm and Security in the Modern World"

Since the 1970s, the theories of punctuated equilibria and multiplier effect have been gaining importance and significance, including to militaries around the world. Developed versions adapted to complex societies may be considered one of the most promising and strategic avenues of research in social sciences. These two theoretical tools offer a way to anticipate major events and conflicts that may come into being and that better knowledge of the universal processes and laws governing any complex society is of critical importance for the 21st century.

A panel of experts will discuss punctuated equilibria theory in specific contexts based on their own professional experience.


This event can also be viewed on UStream.


Welcoming Remarks:

Ambassador Hynek Kmonicek

Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Czech Republic to the United States


Colonel Tom O’Leary, USMC (Ret.)

Executive Vice President and COO, Potomac Institute for Policy Studies



Professor Yonah Alexander

Director, Inter-University Center for Terrorism Studies and Senior Fellow, Potomac Institute for Policy Studies



Professor Miroslav Barta

Professor of Egyptology, Charles University, Prague


Professor Martin Kovar

Vice-rector for Public Affairs, Charles University, Prague


Brigadier General Karel Rehka 

Multinational Division North East Deputy Commander, Elblag, Poland


LTC Otakar Foltyn  

Special Forces Directorate, General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic, Prague


Closing Remarks:

General Alfred Gray, USMC (Ret.)

Twenty-Ninth Commandant of the United States Marine Corps; Senior Fellow and Chairman of the Board of Regents, Potomac Institute for Policy Studies

IUCTS Highlights



March 1, 2018

"Balkan Security Challenges: Past Lessons and Future Outlook"


February 27, 2018

"Punctuated Equilibria Paradigm and Security in the Modern World"


February 9, 2018

Combating Terrorism: Reflections over the Generations


January 31, 2018

National, Regional, and Global Terrorism: An Israeli Perspective


December 19, 2017

Security Challenges in the Balkans: Quo Vadis?


December 7, 2017

Egypt-U.S. Strategic Partnership


November 20, 2017

Spanish-U.S. Strategic Partnership


November 13, 2017

Czech Republic-U.S. Strategic Partnership


October 31, 2017

Can the State System and Separatism Co-Exist?


September 11, 2017

Al-Qa'ida: Sixteen Years After 9/11 and Beyond


August 24, 2017

Combating Biological Terrorism: Roadmaps for Global Strategies


June 29, 2017

The Role of Diplomacy in Combating Terrorism


June 9, 2017

European and U.S. Counter-Terrorism Strategies: Quo Vadis?


May 24, 2017

"Is a New Middle East Strategic Order Emerging?"


April 20, 2017

"Terrorism and the Media: Dilemmas for Government, Journalists, and the Public"


April 13, 2017

"Security Challenges in Africa: Review of 2016 and Outlook for 2017"


March 23, 2017

"Preventing WMD Terrorism: Past Lessons and Future Outlook" 


February 23, 2017

"International Cooperation in Combating Terrorism: Review of 2016 and Outlook for 2017"


December 16, 2016

"Latin America's Security Outlook: Challenges and Opportunities in the Post-Castro Era"


Additional past events 



The Times of Israel on October 25, 2017: "Nuclear Terrorism: Before its too late" by Prof. Yonah Alexander and Dr. Milton Hoenig